Iran··Polymarket·D-53
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran is completed, where the first day of that period is between market creation and the specified date (Iran Standard Time). — Odds: December 31 79.5% · November 30 58.0% · November 22 52.5% · November 15 38.5% · November 8 13.0%