Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
6d 15h left
Volume: $409K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
Teilen:
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic

Marktwahrscheinlichkeiten

Completed Match100.0%
Filip Misolic100.0%
Facundo Acosta0.1%

Volume: $408,542

Total Vol: $408,54224h: $408,533Liquidity: $58,513

Die Wahrscheinlichkeiten spiegeln die kollektive Marktstimmung wider. Keine Anlageberatung.

Marktübersicht

This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Filip Misolic in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Completed Match 100.0% · Filip Misolic 100.0% · Facundo Acosta 0.1%

Datenquelle: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 13일 오전 12:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Completed Match" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Completed Match (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Filip Misolic (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case0%

Low probability scenario (0%)

Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

Related Assets

  • •SOL: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels
This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Originalquelle

Polymarket

Diese Analyse basiert auf Polymarket-Prognosemarktdaten.

View on Polymarket
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