FutureRadar
Tennis·Sports·Games

Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
6d 22h left
Volume: $291K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton

Marktwahrscheinlichkeiten

Luca Van Assche100.0%
Over74.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Ben Shelton62.0%
Completed Match55.0%
Under50.0%
Under 2.537.5%

Volume: $290,957

Total Vol: $290,95724h: $394,842Liquidity: $198,026

Die Wahrscheinlichkeiten spiegeln die kollektive Marktstimmung wider. Keine Anlageberatung.

Marktübersicht

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Ben Shelton in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. — Odds: Luca Van Assche 100.0% · Over 74.5% · Over 2.5 62.5% · Ben Shelton 62.0% · Completed Match 55.0%

Datenquelle: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 14일 오후 10:30

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Luca Van Assche" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Luca Van Assche (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case75%

Over (75%)

Alternative scenario with 75% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case63%

Over 2.5 (63%)

Currently rated at 63%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Originalquelle

Polymarket

Diese Analyse basiert auf Polymarket-Prognosemarktdaten.

View on Polymarket
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