What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?
Marktwahrscheinlichkeiten
Volume: $161,716
Die Wahrscheinlichkeiten spiegeln die kollektive Marktstimmung wider. Keine Anlageberatung.
Marktübersicht
What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15? — Odds: ↓ 74,000 81.5% · ↑ 76,000 70.5% · ↓ 72,000 43.5% · ↑ 78,000 34.5% · ↓ 70,000 18.5%
Datenquelle: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 16일 오후 02:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "↓ 74,000" scenario leads at 82%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
↓ 74,000 (82%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (82%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 62%
↑ 76,000 (71%)
Alternative scenario with 71% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
↓ 72,000 (44%)
Currently rated at 44%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 6 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 6 days (short-term)
Related Assets
- •BTC: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9?
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9? — Odds: ↓ 73,000 0.1% · ↑ 76,000 0.1% · ↓ 72,000 0.1% · ↑ 78,000 0.1% · ↓ 71,000 0.1%