Elon Musk # tweets November 9 - November 11, 2026?
Marktwahrscheinlichkeiten
Volume: $467,992
Die Wahrscheinlichkeiten spiegeln die kollektive Marktstimmung wider. Keine Anlageberatung.
Marktübersicht
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 9 12:00 PM ET to November 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. — Odds: <40 100.0% · 65-89 0.1% · 40-64 0.1% · 90-114 0.1% · 140-164 0.1%
Datenquelle: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 12일 오전 02:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "<40" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
<40 (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
65-89 (0%)
Alternative scenario with 0% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (0%)
Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Awaiting resolution or already resolved
Related Assets
- •SOL: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels
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