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Tennis·Sports·Games

Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday

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3 min readPolymarket
6d 11h left
Volume: $201K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday

Marktwahrscheinlichkeiten

Francesco Maestrelli100.0%
Under100.0%
Under 2.5100.0%
Johannus Monday0.1%
Over0.1%
Over 2.50.1%

Volume: $200,736

Total Vol: $200,73624h: $200,974Liquidity: $243,882

Die Wahrscheinlichkeiten spiegeln die kollektive Marktstimmung wider. Keine Anlageberatung.

Marktübersicht

This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Johannus Monday in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. — Odds: Francesco Maestrelli 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Johannus Monday 0.1% · Over 0.1%

Datenquelle: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 18일 오후 06:30

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Francesco Maestrelli" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Francesco Maestrelli (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Under (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Under 2.5 (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Originalquelle

Polymarket

Diese Analyse basiert auf Polymarket-Prognosemarktdaten.

View on Polymarket
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