What price will Ethereum hit in November?
Probabilidades del mercado
Volume: $379,366
Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Resumen del mercado
What price will Ethereum hit in November? — Odds: ↓ 2,200 89.5% · ↑ 2,300 84.0% · ↓ 2,100 64.5% · ↑ 2,400 59.5% · ↓ 2,000 44.5%
Fuente de datos: Polymarket.
Market End
Live12월 1일 오후 02:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "↓ 2,200" scenario leads at 90%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
↓ 2,200 (90%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (90%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 70%
↑ 2,300 (84%)
Alternative scenario with 84% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
↓ 2,100 (65%)
Currently rated at 65%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in ~4 weeks (medium-term)
Related Assets
- •ETH: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels
Polymarket
Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.
View on Polymarket