Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff

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Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Probabilidades del mercado

Jan-Lennard Struff50.5%
Thiago Agustin Tirante50.0%
Completed Match50.0%

Volume: $457,994

Total Vol: $457,99424h: $461,582Liquidity: $323,756

Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.

Resumen del mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. — Odds: Jan-Lennard Struff 50.5% · Thiago Agustin Tirante 50.0% · Completed Match 50.0%

Fuente de datos: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 12일 오전 01:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Jan-Lennard Struff" scenario leads at 51%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case51%

Jan-Lennard Struff (51%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (51%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 31%

Base Case50%

Thiago Agustin Tirante (50%)

Alternative scenario with 50% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case50%

Completed Match (50%)

Currently rated at 50%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fuente original

Polymarket

Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
Siguiente
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Tennis·D-6

Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Taylor Fritz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. — Odds: Taylor Fritz 100.0% · Alex Molcan 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0%

·Polymarket