Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton

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Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton

Probabilidades del mercado

Ben Shelton74.5%
Luca Van Assche67.5%
Under 2.558.5%
Over57.0%
Completed Match55.0%
Under52.0%
Over 2.541.5%

Volume: $177,490

Total Vol: $177,49024h: $238,518Liquidity: $274,467

Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.

Resumen del mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Ben Shelton in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. — Odds: Ben Shelton 74.5% · Luca Van Assche 67.5% · Under 2.5 58.5% · Over 57.0% · Completed Match 55.0%

Fuente de datos: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 14일 오후 10:30

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Ben Shelton" scenario leads at 75%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case75%

Ben Shelton (75%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (75%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 55%

Base Case68%

Luca Van Assche (68%)

Alternative scenario with 68% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case59%

Under 2.5 (59%)

Currently rated at 59%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fuente original

Polymarket

Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
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