Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

FutureRadar Desk
3 min lecturaPolymarket
6d 17h left
Volumen: $275K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
Compartir:
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Probabilidades del mercado

Over99.6%
Thiago Seyboth Wild95.9%
Completed Match55.0%
Facundo Acosta50.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Under 2.550.0%
Under50.0%

Volume: $275,203

Total Vol: $275,20324h: $303,125Liquidity: $51,702

Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.

Resumen del mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Over 99.6% · Thiago Seyboth Wild 95.9% · Completed Match 55.0% · Facundo Acosta 50.0% · Over 2.5 50.0%

Fuente de datos: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 15일 오전 12:00

D-7

Time to market close

Loading...

What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Over (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case96%

Thiago Seyboth Wild (96%)

Alternative scenario with 96% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case55%

Completed Match (55%)

Currently rated at 55%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fuente original

Polymarket

Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
Siguiente
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tennis·D-7

Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz

This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. — Odds: Carlos Alcaraz 100.0% · Casper Ruud 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0%

·Polymarket