Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
Probabilidades del mercado
Volume: $177,149
Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Resumen del mercado
This market refers to the tennis match between Billy Harris and Liam Broady in the Matsuyama, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. — Odds: Over 99.6% · Billy Harris 90.5% · Completed Match 55.0% · Liam Broady 50.0% · Under 0.4%
Fuente de datos: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 16일 오전 09:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Over (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Billy Harris (91%)
Alternative scenario with 91% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Completed Match (55%)
Currently rated at 55%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.
View on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 9?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport (ZGSZ) on 9 Nov '26. — Odds: 28°C 99.9% · 27°C 0.1% · 26°C 0.1% · 25°C 0.1% · 24°C 0.1%