What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?
Probabilidades del mercado
Volume: $161,716
Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Resumen del mercado
What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15? — Odds: ↓ 74,000 81.5% · ↑ 76,000 70.5% · ↓ 72,000 43.5% · ↑ 78,000 34.5% · ↓ 70,000 18.5%
Fuente de datos: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 16일 오후 02:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "↓ 74,000" scenario leads at 82%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
↓ 74,000 (82%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (82%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 62%
↑ 76,000 (71%)
Alternative scenario with 71% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
↓ 72,000 (44%)
Currently rated at 44%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 6 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 6 days (short-term)
Related Assets
- •BTC: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels
Polymarket
Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.
View on Polymarket
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9?
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9? — Odds: ↓ 73,000 0.1% · ↑ 76,000 0.1% · ↓ 72,000 0.1% · ↑ 78,000 0.1% · ↓ 71,000 0.1%