Orleans: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier
Probabilidades del mercado
Volume: $169,631
Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Resumen del mercado
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Daniel Altmaier in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Daniel Altmaier 100.0% · Adrien Gobat 0.1%
Fuente de datos: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 17일 오후 10:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Daniel Altmaier" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Daniel Altmaier (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Adrien Gobat (0%)
Alternative scenario with 0% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (0%)
Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.
View on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Dusan Lajovic
This market refers to the tennis match between Buvaysar Gadamauri and Dusan Lajovic in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. — Odds: Buvaysar Gadamauri 100.0% · Dusan Lajovic 50.5% · Over 50.0% · Under 50.0% · Over 2.5 50.0%