Rolex Paris Masters: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Machac
Probabilidades del mercado
Volume: $446,541
Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Resumen del mercado
This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Tomas Machac in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. — Odds: Tomas Machac 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Kyrian Jacquet 0.1%
Fuente de datos: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 9일 오후 11:30
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Tomas Machac" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Tomas Machac (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Under (100%)
Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Under 2.5 (100%)
Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.
View on Polymarket