Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau

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6d 20h left
Volumen: $224K
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Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau

Probabilidades del mercado

Matteo Martineau100.0%
Completed Match100.0%
Maxim Mrva0.1%

Volume: $224,254

Total Vol: $224,25424h: $240,340Liquidity: $469,916

Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.

Resumen del mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Matteo Martineau in the Taranto, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. — Odds: Matteo Martineau 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Maxim Mrva 0.1%

Fuente de datos: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 13일 오후 06:30

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Matteo Martineau" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Matteo Martineau (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Completed Match (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case0%

Low probability scenario (0%)

Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fuente original

Polymarket

Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
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