BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel

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BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel

Probabilidades del mercado

Completed Match100.0%
Toby Samuel100.0%
Adrian Mannarino0.1%

Volume: $237,856

Total Vol: $237,85624h: $245,823Liquidity: $7,366

Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.

Resumen del mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Toby Samuel in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. — Odds: Completed Match 100.0% · Toby Samuel 100.0% · Adrian Mannarino 0.1%

Fuente de datos: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 15일 오후 09:30

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Completed Match" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Completed Match (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Toby Samuel (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case0%

Low probability scenario (0%)

Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fuente original

Polymarket

Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
Siguiente
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
Tennis·D-6

BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Borna Gojo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. — Odds: Borna Gojo 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Nikoloz Basilashvili 0.1%

·Polymarket