WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova

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Volumen: $302K
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WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova

Probabilidades del mercado

Linda Noskova88.5%
Under 2.580.5%
Completed Match53.5%
Marta Kostyuk50.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%
Over 2.519.5%

Volume: $302,471

Total Vol: $302,47124h: $355,500Liquidity: $207,869

Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.

Resumen del mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Linda Noskova in the WTA Finals, Group A, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. — Odds: Linda Noskova 88.5% · Under 2.5 80.5% · Completed Match 53.5% · Marta Kostyuk 50.0% · Over 50.0%

Fuente de datos: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 16일 오전 05:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Linda Noskova" scenario leads at 89%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case89%

Linda Noskova (89%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (89%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 69%

Base Case81%

Under 2.5 (81%)

Alternative scenario with 81% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case54%

Completed Match (54%)

Currently rated at 54%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fuente original

Polymarket

Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
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This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Blinkova and Sofya Lansere in the Luanda, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. — Odds: Completed Match 100.0%

·Polymarket