Sopo: Katrina Scott vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia

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3 min lecturaPolymarket
6d 18h left
Volumen: $619K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Sopo: Katrina Scott vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia

Probabilidades del mercado

Katrina Scott99.6%
Andrea Lazaro Garcia66.5%
Completed Match55.0%

Volume: $619,110

Total Vol: $619,11024h: $627,864Liquidity: $143,156

Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.

Resumen del mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Katrina Scott and Andrea Lazaro Garcia in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Katrina Scott 99.6% · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 66.5% · Completed Match 55.0%

Fuente de datos: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 18일 오전 12:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Katrina Scott" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Katrina Scott (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case67%

Andrea Lazaro Garcia (67%)

Alternative scenario with 67% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case55%

Completed Match (55%)

Currently rated at 55%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fuente original

Polymarket

Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
Siguiente
Sopo: Bianca Andreescu vs Rebeka Masarova
Tennis·D-7

Sopo: Bianca Andreescu vs Rebeka Masarova

This market refers to the tennis match between Bianca Andreescu and Rebeka Masarova in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Bianca Andreescu 100.0% · Over 2.5 100.0% · Over 100.0% · Rebeka Masarova 99.6% · Completed Match 55.0%

·Polymarket