LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

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LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Market Probabilities

Gen.G91.5%
Under82.5%
Over66.5%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51.0%
Any Player Penta Kill50.0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%
Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49.5%

Volume: $1,808,063

Total Vol: $1,808,06324h: $1,652,864Liquidity: $2,464,095

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 3 match between Gen.G and LYON in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. — Odds: Gen.G 91.5% · Under 82.5% · Over 66.5% · Both Teams Slay a Dragon 51.0% · Any Player Penta Kill 50.0%

Based on Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 5일 오후 01:00

D-Day

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Gen.G" scenario leads at 92%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case92%

Gen.G (92%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (92%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 72%

Base Case83%

Under (83%)

Alternative scenario with 83% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case67%

Over (67%)

Currently rated at 67%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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