M15 Antalya: Vladimir Osminkin vs Antoni Fabre
Market Probabilities
Volume: $223,046
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Osminkin and Antoni Fabre in the M15 Antalya, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. — Odds: Antoni Fabre 82.0% · Vladimir Osminkin 18.0%
Based on Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 17일 오후 06:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Antoni Fabre" scenario leads at 82%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Antoni Fabre (82%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (82%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 62%
Vladimir Osminkin (18%)
Alternative scenario with 18% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (18%)
Currently rated at 18%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket
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