LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
Market Probabilities
Volume: $414,028
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between Dplus KIA and Bilibili Gaming in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. — Odds: Bilibili Gaming 89.5% · Dplus KIA 82.5% · Over 75.5% · Under 64.5% · Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50.0%
Based on Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 6일 오후 01:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Bilibili Gaming" scenario leads at 90%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Bilibili Gaming (90%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (90%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 70%
Dplus KIA (83%)
Alternative scenario with 83% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Over (76%)
Currently rated at 76%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution expected tomorrow
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket
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