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Tennis·Sports·Games

Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala

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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala

Market Probabilities

Over100.0%
Alexandra Eala99.5%
Antonia Ruzic78.5%
Under 2.568.5%
Completed Match55.0%
Under50.0%
Over 2.531.5%

Volume: $278,055

Total Vol: $278,05524h: $303,605Liquidity: $216,838

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the tennis match between Antonia Ruzic and Alexandra Eala in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. — Odds: Over 100.0% · Alexandra Eala 99.5% · Antonia Ruzic 78.5% · Under 2.5 68.5% · Completed Match 55.0%

Based on Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 13일 오후 09:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Over (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Alexandra Eala (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case79%

Antonia Ruzic (79%)

Currently rated at 79%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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