Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
Market Probabilities
Volume: $177,490
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Ben Shelton in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. — Odds: Ben Shelton 77.5% · Under 2.5 62.0% · Luca Van Assche 61.5% · Completed Match 55.0% · Over 54.0%
Based on Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 14일 오후 10:30
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Ben Shelton" scenario leads at 78%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Ben Shelton (78%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (78%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 58%
Under 2.5 (62%)
Alternative scenario with 62% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Luca Van Assche (62%)
Currently rated at 62%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between HULIGANI and LEGION in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. — Odds: LEGION 100.0% · Over 100.0% · HULIGANI 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Both Teams Beat Roshan 50.0%