Costa do Sauipe: Daniel Galan vs Gonzalo Bueno
Market Probabilities
Volume: $462,050
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Galan and Gonzalo Bueno in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. — Odds: Daniel Galan 50.0% · Gonzalo Bueno 50.0% · Completed Match 0.4%
Based on Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 11일 오전 04:30
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Daniel Galan" scenario leads at 50%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Daniel Galan (50%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (50%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 30%
Gonzalo Bueno (50%)
Alternative scenario with 50% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (0%)
Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 6 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 6 days (short-term)
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Semifinals match between Natus Vincere and GamerLegion in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. — Odds: Any Player Ultra Kill 52.5% · Both Teams Beat Roshan 47.5% · Any Player Rampage 47.5%