Lima: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Nicolas Jarry

FutureRadar Desk
3 min letturaPolymarket
6d 21h left
Volume: $283K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Lima: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Nicolas Jarry

Market Probabilities

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo99.5%
Nicolas Jarry0.5%

Volume: $282,698

Total Vol: $282,69824h: $320,712Liquidity: $147,954

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo and Nicolas Jarry in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. — Odds: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 99.5% · Nicolas Jarry 0.5%

Based on Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 18일 오전 01:30

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case1%

Nicolas Jarry (1%)

Alternative scenario with 1% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case1%

Low probability scenario (1%)

Currently rated at 1%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Santiago De La Fuente in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Santiago De La Fuente 100.0% · Daniel Rincon 0.1%

·Polymarket