What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?
市場確率
Volume: $213,305
確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。
マーケット概要
What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8? — Odds: ↓ 76,000 86.5% · ↑ 78,000 68.5% · ↓ 74,000 47.5% · ↑ 80,000 33.5% · ↓ 72,000 23.5%
データ出典: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 9일 오후 02:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "↓ 76,000" scenario leads at 87%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
↓ 76,000 (87%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (87%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 67%
↑ 78,000 (69%)
Alternative scenario with 69% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
↓ 74,000 (48%)
Currently rated at 48%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 6 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 6 days (short-term)
Related Assets
- •BTC: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels