Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
市場確率
Volume: $386,716
確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。
マーケット概要
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. — Odds: Jan-Lennard Struff 51.5% · Thiago Agustin Tirante 50.0% · Completed Match 50.0%
データ出典: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 12일 오전 01:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Jan-Lennard Struff" scenario leads at 52%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Jan-Lennard Struff (52%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (52%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 32%
Thiago Agustin Tirante (50%)
Alternative scenario with 50% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Completed Match (50%)
Currently rated at 50%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Taylor Fritz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. — Odds: Taylor Fritz 100.0% · Alex Molcan 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0%