M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria: David Aguiar Johansson vs David Vega Hernandez
市場確率
Volume: $410,804
確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。
マーケット概要
This market refers to the tennis match between David Aguiar Johansson and David Vega Hernandez in the M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: David Aguiar Johansson 100.0% · David Vega Hernandez 0.1%
データ出典: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 17일 오후 10:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "David Aguiar Johansson" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
David Aguiar Johansson (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
David Vega Hernandez (0%)
Alternative scenario with 0% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (0%)
Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
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