FutureRadar
Tennis·Sports·Games

Sopo: Katrina Scott vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
6d 18h left
Volume: $619K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
共有:
Sopo: Katrina Scott vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia

市場確率

Katrina Scott99.6%
Andrea Lazaro Garcia66.5%
Completed Match55.0%

Volume: $619,110

Total Vol: $619,11024h: $627,864Liquidity: $143,156

確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。

マーケット概要

This market refers to the tennis match between Katrina Scott and Andrea Lazaro Garcia in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Katrina Scott 99.6% · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 66.5% · Completed Match 55.0%

データ出典: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 18일 오전 12:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Katrina Scott" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Katrina Scott (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case67%

Andrea Lazaro Garcia (67%)

Alternative scenario with 67% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case55%

Completed Match (55%)

Currently rated at 55%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
元のソース

Polymarket

この分析はPolymarket予測市場データに基づいています。

View on Polymarket
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Sopo: Bianca Andreescu vs Rebeka Masarova
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Sopo: Bianca Andreescu vs Rebeka Masarova

This market refers to the tennis match between Bianca Andreescu and Rebeka Masarova in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Bianca Andreescu 100.0% · Over 2.5 100.0% · Over 100.0% · Rebeka Masarova 99.6% · Completed Match 55.0%

·Polymarket