BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
Market Probabilities
Volume: $237,856
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Toby Samuel in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. — Odds: Completed Match 100.0% · Toby Samuel 100.0% · Adrian Mannarino 0.1%
Based on Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 15일 오후 09:30
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Completed Match" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Completed Match (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Toby Samuel (100%)
Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (0%)
Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jaume Munar in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. — Odds: Thiago Agustin Tirante 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Jaume Munar 0.1%