FutureRadar
Tennis·Sports·Games

Lima: Hugo Dellien vs Tristan Boyer

FutureRadar Desk
3 minit bacaPolymarket
6d 15h left
Volum: $374K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
Kongsi:
Lima: Hugo Dellien vs Tristan Boyer

Market Probabilities

Tristan Boyer100.0%
Under99.6%
Completed Match99.5%
Under 2.599.5%
Hugo Dellien0.5%
Over 2.50.5%
Over0.4%

Volume: $373,527

Total Vol: $373,52724h: $374,248Liquidity: $252,433

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Dellien and Tristan Boyer in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Tristan Boyer 100.0% · Under 99.6% · Completed Match 99.5% · Under 2.5 99.5% · Hugo Dellien 0.5%

Based on Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 17일 오전 12:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Tristan Boyer" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Tristan Boyer (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Under (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Completed Match (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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