FutureRadar
Culture·Politics·Tweet Markets·Recurring

Elon Musk # tweets November 9 - November 11, 2026?

FutureRadar Desk
3 minit bacaPolymarket
5h 24m left
Volum: $333K
SOL·Solana
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
Kongsi:
Elon Musk # tweets November 9 - November 11, 2026?

Market Probabilities

<4070.0%
40-6430.5%
65-891.1%
90-1140.1%
140-1640.1%
165-1890.1%
115-1390.1%
190-2140.1%

Volume: $333,439

Total Vol: $333,43924h: $230,038Liquidity: $115,017

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 9 12:00 PM ET to November 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. — Odds: <40 70.0% · 40-64 30.5% · 65-89 1.1% · 90-114 0.1% · 140-164 0.1%

Based on Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 12일 오전 02:00

D-1

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "<40" scenario leads at 70%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case70%

<40 (70%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (70%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 50%

Base Case31%

40-64 (31%)

Alternative scenario with 31% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case1%

Low probability scenario (1%)

Currently rated at 1%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

Related Assets

  • •SOL: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels
This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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