LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
7h 22m left
Volume: $1.7M
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
Share:
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Market Probabilities

Gen.G92.5%
Under83.5%
Over66.5%
Any Player Penta Kill50.0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%
Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%

Volume: $1,654,848

Total Vol: $1,654,84824h: $1,481,122Liquidity: $2,684,732

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 3 match between Gen.G and LYON in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. — Odds: Gen.G 92.5% · Under 83.5% · Over 66.5% · Any Player Penta Kill 50.0% · Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50.0%

Based on Polymarket data.

Market End

Live

11월 5일 오후 01:00

D-Day

Time to market close

Loading...

What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Gen.G" scenario leads at 93%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case93%

Gen.G (93%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (93%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 73%

Base Case84%

Under (84%)

Alternative scenario with 84% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case67%

Over (67%)

Currently rated at 67%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
Up Next
Crypto's powerhouse super PAC, Fairshake, found its kryptonite
News Analysis·D-17

Crypto's powerhouse super PAC, Fairshake, found its kryptonite

The industry's primary campaign arm had cultivated a reputation as an unstoppable force, but more than a third of its spending failed to hit the mark, especially in Ohio.

·CoinDesk