Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
6d 21h left
Volume: $339K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez

Market Probabilities

Over100.0%
Zeynep Sonmez70.5%
Under 2.558.5%
Mika Stojsavljevic57.5%
Completed Match50.0%
Under50.0%
Over 2.541.5%

Volume: $339,019

Total Vol: $339,01924h: $365,236Liquidity: $113,541

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Stojsavljevic and Zeynep Sonmez in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. — Odds: Over 100.0% · Zeynep Sonmez 70.5% · Under 2.5 58.5% · Mika Stojsavljevic 57.5% · Completed Match 50.0%

Based on Polymarket data.

Market End

Live

11월 12일 오후 04:30

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Over (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case71%

Zeynep Sonmez (71%)

Alternative scenario with 71% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case59%

Under 2.5 (59%)

Currently rated at 59%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic

This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Wang and Antonia Ruzic in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. — Odds: Antonia Ruzic 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Xinyu Wang 0.1%

·Polymarket