Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
6d 14h left
Volume: $278K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato

Market Probabilities

Marco Cecchinato100.0%
Over100.0%
Completed Match53.0%
Under50.0%
Thiago Monteiro50.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Under 2.550.0%

Volume: $278,479

Total Vol: $278,47924h: $295,372Liquidity: $221,002

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Marco Cecchinato in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Marco Cecchinato 100.0% · Over 100.0% · Completed Match 53.0% · Under 50.0% · Thiago Monteiro 50.0%

Based on Polymarket data.

Market End

Live

11월 13일 오전 12:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Marco Cecchinato" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Marco Cecchinato (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Over (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case53%

Completed Match (53%)

Currently rated at 53%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
Tennis·D-7

Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic

This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Filip Misolic in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Completed Match 100.0% · Filip Misolic 100.0% · Facundo Acosta 0.1%

·Polymarket