Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
Ended
Volume: $893K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

Market Probabilities

Both Teams Beat Roshan47.5%
Any Player Ultra Kill47.0%
Any Player Rampage47.0%

Volume: $893,461

Total Vol: $893,46124h: $894,335Liquidity: $83

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between HULIGANI and LEGION in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. — Odds: Both Teams Beat Roshan 47.5% · Any Player Ultra Kill 47.0% · Any Player Rampage 47.0%

Based on Polymarket data.

Market End

Live

11월 8일 오전 01:00

D-Day

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Both Teams Beat Roshan" scenario leads at 48%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case48%

Both Teams Beat Roshan (48%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (48%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 30%

Base Case47%

Any Player Ultra Kill (47%)

Alternative scenario with 47% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case47%

Any Player Rampage (47%)

Currently rated at 47%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Awaiting resolution or already resolved

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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