Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
Market Probabilities
Volume: $517,212
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the tennis match between Claire Liu and Alexandra Eala in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. — Odds: Claire Liu 86.5% · Under 80.5% · Under 2.5 78.0% · Completed Match 55.0% · Over 51.5%
Based on Polymarket data.
Market End
Live11월 15일 오후 05:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Claire Liu" scenario leads at 87%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Claire Liu (87%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (87%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 67%
Under (81%)
Alternative scenario with 81% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Under 2.5 (78%)
Currently rated at 78%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket
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