Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
Market Probabilities
Volume: $286,013
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. — Odds: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 100.0% · Completed Match 55.0% · Over 50.5% · Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg 50.0% · Over 2.5 50.0%
Based on Polymarket data.
Market End
Live11월 16일 오후 06:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Completed Match (55%)
Alternative scenario with 55% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Over (51%)
Currently rated at 51%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket
Hersonissos 3: Johannus Monday vs Georgii Kravchenko
This market refers to the tennis match between Johannus Monday and Georgii Kravchenko in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. — Odds: Johannus Monday 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Georgii Kravchenko 0.1%