Sopo: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
Market Probabilities
Volume: $171,431
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the tennis match between Carole Monnet and Leyre Romero Gormaz in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Over 99.6% · Carole Monnet 56.5% · Completed Match 55.0% · Leyre Romero Gormaz 50.0% · Over 2.5 50.0%
Based on Polymarket data.
Market End
Live11월 18일 오전 12:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Over (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Carole Monnet (56%)
Alternative scenario with 56% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Completed Match (55%)
Currently rated at 55%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
This market refers to the tennis match between Polona Hercog and Varvara Lepchenko in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Polona Hercog 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Varvara Lepchenko 0.1%