Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
6d 8h left
Volume: $146K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta

Market Probabilities

Massimo Giunta100.0%
Under 2.5100.0%
Under100.0%
Felix Gill0.1%
Over 2.50.1%
Over0.1%

Volume: $145,880

Total Vol: $145,88024h: $145,878Liquidity: $92,729

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Gill and Massimo Giunta in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. — Odds: Massimo Giunta 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Felix Gill 0.1% · Over 2.5 0.1%

Based on Polymarket data.

Market End

Live

11월 18일 오후 06:30

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Massimo Giunta" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Massimo Giunta (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Under 2.5 (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Under (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday
Tennis·D-6

Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday

This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Johannus Monday in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. — Odds: Francesco Maestrelli 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Johannus Monday 0.1% · Over 0.1%

·Polymarket