Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
Market Probabilities
Volume: $211,114
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Tommy Paul in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Over 76.0% · Over 2.5 70.0% · Ben Shelton 64.5% · Completed Match 55.0% · Tommy Paul 53.5%
Based on Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 13일 오후 10:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 76%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Over (76%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (76%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 56%
Over 2.5 (70%)
Alternative scenario with 70% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Ben Shelton (65%)
Currently rated at 65%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Mrva and Matteo Martineau in the Taranto, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. — Odds: Matteo Martineau 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Maxim Mrva 0.1%