Knoxville: Jamie Mackenzie vs Lui Maxted
Market Probabilities
Volume: $241,192
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the tennis match between Jamie Mackenzie and Lui Maxted in the Knoxville, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. — Odds: Lui Maxted 68.0% · Completed Match 55.0% · Jamie Mackenzie 32.0%
Based on Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 16일 오전 03:30
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Lui Maxted" scenario leads at 68%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Lui Maxted (68%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (68%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 48%
Completed Match (55%)
Alternative scenario with 55% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Jamie Mackenzie (32%)
Currently rated at 32%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
This market refers to the tennis match between Emile Hudd and Justin Boulais in the Knoxville, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Emile Hudd 100.0% · Completed Match 99.6% · Justin Boulais 0.1%