Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva

FutureRadar Desk
3 min leituraPolymarket
6d 15h left
Volume: $355K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva

Probabilidades do mercado

Over100.0%
Zhibek Kulambayeva99.5%
Mai Hontama87.5%
Completed Match54.0%
Under0.1%

Volume: $355,028

Total Vol: $355,02824h: $364,615Liquidity: $198,330

As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.

Visão geral do mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Mai Hontama and Zhibek Kulambayeva in the Chennai Open, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. — Odds: Over 100.0% · Zhibek Kulambayeva 99.5% · Mai Hontama 87.5% · Completed Match 54.0% · Under 0.1%

Fonte de dados: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 12일 오후 01:30

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Over (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Zhibek Kulambayeva (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case88%

Mai Hontama (88%)

Currently rated at 88%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fonte original

Polymarket

Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
Fonte: Polymarket
Atualizado: 5 de nov.
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