Elon Musk # tweets November 7 - November 9, 2026?
Probabilidades do mercado
Volume: $286,664
As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.
Visão geral do mercado
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 7 12:00 PM ET to November 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. — Odds: 40-64 51.5% · 65-89 41.0% · 90-114 6.5% · 115-139 0.7% · <40 0.5%
Fonte de dados: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 10일 오전 02:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "40-64" scenario leads at 52%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
40-64 (52%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (52%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 32%
65-89 (41%)
Alternative scenario with 41% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (7%)
Currently rated at 7%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution expected tomorrow
Related Assets
- •SOL: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels
Polymarket
Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.
View on Polymarket
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