Orleans: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier
Probabilidades do mercado
Volume: $169,631
As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.
Visão geral do mercado
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Daniel Altmaier in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Daniel Altmaier 100.0% · Adrien Gobat 0.1%
Fonte de dados: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 17일 오후 10:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Daniel Altmaier" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Daniel Altmaier (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Adrien Gobat (0%)
Alternative scenario with 0% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (0%)
Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.
View on Polymarket
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Dusan Lajovic
This market refers to the tennis match between Buvaysar Gadamauri and Dusan Lajovic in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. — Odds: Buvaysar Gadamauri 100.0% · Dusan Lajovic 50.5% · Over 50.0% · Under 50.0% · Over 2.5 50.0%