Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Probabilidades do mercado
Volume: $661,351
As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.
Visão geral do mercado
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Taylor Fritz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. — Odds: Alex Molcan 99.9% · Taylor Fritz 56.5% · Completed Match 50.0%
Fonte de dados: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 11일 오후 11:30
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Alex Molcan" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Alex Molcan (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Taylor Fritz (56%)
Alternative scenario with 56% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Completed Match (50%)
Currently rated at 50%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.
View on Polymarket
Live updates: Bitcoin and stocks reverse overnight plunge following Blue Wave landslide
The biggest losers, so far, are the AI data center stocks following victories for several candidates who campaigned expressly against the sector.