Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys

FutureRadar Desk
3 min leituraPolymarket
6d 21h left
Volume: $618K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys

Probabilidades do mercado

Tommy Paul100.0%
Over100.0%
Quentin Halys100.0%
Under 2.5100.0%
Completed Match100.0%
Under100.0%
Over 2.50.1%

Volume: $617,775

Total Vol: $617,77524h: $634,784Liquidity: $266,240

As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.

Visão geral do mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Quentin Halys in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. — Odds: Tommy Paul 100.0% · Over 100.0% · Quentin Halys 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0%

Fonte de dados: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 12일 오후 06:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Tommy Paul" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Tommy Paul (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Over (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Quentin Halys (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fonte original

Polymarket

Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
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