Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud

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Volume: $710K
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Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud

Probabilidades do mercado

Casper Ruud100.0%
Under100.0%
Under 2.5100.0%
Completed Match100.0%
Over100.0%
Jan-Lennard Struff0.1%
Over 2.50.1%

Volume: $709,895

Total Vol: $709,89524h: $712,285Liquidity: $272,369

As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.

Visão geral do mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Casper Ruud in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. — Odds: Casper Ruud 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Over 100.0%

Fonte de dados: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 13일 오전 01:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Casper Ruud" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Casper Ruud (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Under (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Under 2.5 (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fonte original

Polymarket

Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
Próximo
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tennis·D-7

Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. — Odds: Under 51.5% · Carlos Alcaraz 50.5% · Under 2.5 50.5% · Over 50.5% · Matteo Berrettini 50.5%

·Polymarket