Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal

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3 min leituraPolymarket
6d 16h left
Volume: $203K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal

Probabilidades do mercado

Kilian Feldbausch100.0%
Completed Match100.0%
Sumit Nagal0.1%

Volume: $202,643

Total Vol: $202,64324h: $203,216Liquidity: $484,564

As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.

Visão geral do mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Kilian Feldbausch and Sumit Nagal in the Taranto, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. — Odds: Kilian Feldbausch 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Sumit Nagal 0.1%

Fonte de dados: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 13일 오후 09:30

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Kilian Feldbausch" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Kilian Feldbausch (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Completed Match (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case0%

Low probability scenario (0%)

Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fonte original

Polymarket

Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
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This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Tommy Paul in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Ben Shelton 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Tommy Paul 0.1%

·Polymarket