Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton

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3 min leituraPolymarket
6d 21h left
Volume: $157K
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Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton

Probabilidades do mercado

Over100.0%
Lui Maxted100.0%
Over 2.5100.0%
Hynek Barton9.5%
Under0.1%
Under 2.50.1%

Volume: $156,743

Total Vol: $156,74324h: $163,972Liquidity: $93,918

As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.

Visão geral do mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Lui Maxted and Hynek Barton in the Knoxville, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Over 100.0% · Lui Maxted 100.0% · Over 2.5 100.0% · Hynek Barton 9.5% · Under 0.1%

Fonte de dados: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 18일 오전 12:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Over (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Lui Maxted (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Over 2.5 (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fonte original

Polymarket

Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
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This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Daniel Altmaier in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Daniel Altmaier 100.0% · Adrien Gobat 0.1%

·Polymarket